Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
VIC
2 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
NAP
3 - 0
TOR
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 2
NAP
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
NAP
4 - 0
GEN
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
GEN
1 - 0
NAP
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
NAP
4 - 1
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |