Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
ACL
2 - 1
ATL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1937 |
ATL
1 - 0
ASL
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROM
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 0
FIO
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |