Atalanta vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 0
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 4
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAZ
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 1
JUV
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 1
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
MOD
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |