Atalanta vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
ATL
0 - 3
TOR
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIC
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SAM
0 - 2
MOD
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
MOD
1 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIC
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ROM
0 - 0
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |