Atalanta vs Milan analysis

Atalanta Milan
98 ELO 97
28.3% Tilt 9.8%
General ELO ranking 10º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.5%
Atalanta
19.8%
Draw
18.8%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
Atalanta
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.8%
Win probability
Milan
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
+2%
+2%
Milan

Points and table prediction

Atalanta
Their league position
Milan
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
12º
35
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
51
87
72%
Napoli
54
84
56%
Atalanta
47
79
59.5%
Lazio
42
69
31%
Juventus
40
68
29%
Milan
35
68
22%
Fiorentina
39
64
36.5%
Bologna
37
59
33.5%
Roma
31
55
43.5%
Udinese
10º
29
47
10º
29.5%
Torino
11º
27
46
11º
25.5%
Genoa
12º
26
42
12º
19.5%
Hellas Verona
13º
23
38
13º
18%
Empoli
16º
21
37
14º
16%
Cagliari
17º
21
36
15º
18.5%
Como
15º
22
35
16º
13.5%
Lecce
14º
23
35
17º
15.5%
Parma
18º
20
32
18º
17.5%
AC Monza
20º
13
28
19º
26%
Venezia
19º
16
28
20º
35%
Expected probabilities
Atalanta
Milan
Champion
6.5% 0%
Champions League
91.5% 25%
Europa League
1.5% 26%
Conference League knock out round
0.5% 22%
Mid-table
0% 27%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atalanta
Milan
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Empoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2024
ROM
Roma
0 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
27%
24%
49%
98 94 4 0
26 Nov. 2024
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 6
Atalanta
ATL
12%
19%
69%
97 84 13 +1
23 Nov. 2024
PAR
Parma
1 - 3
Atalanta
ATL
12%
20%
68%
97 86 11 0
10 Nov. 2024
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Udinese
UDI
85%
11%
5%
97 88 9 0
06 Nov. 2024
STU
Stuttgart
0 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
31%
24%
45%
97 93 4 0

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2024
ACM
Milan
6 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
77%
15%
8%
97 88 9 0
30 Nov. 2024
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
Empoli
EMP
79%
15%
6%
96 87 9 +1
26 Nov. 2024
SBR
Slovan Bratislava
2 - 3
Milan
ACM
11%
19%
71%
96 77 19 0
23 Nov. 2024
ACM
Milan
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
41%
25%
33%
96 98 2 0
09 Nov. 2024
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 3
Milan
ACM
15%
21%
64%
96 84 12 0