Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
USC
1 - 2
ATL
28%
31%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ATL
0 - 0
JUV
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASC
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
PAD
2 - 1
ATL
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
GEN
73%
19%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
68%
21%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
77%
17%
7%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
18%
30%
52%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | +1 |