Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
ATL
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
RIM
1 - 1
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAD
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 0
LEC
54%
29%
18%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
82%
14%
4%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
ACM
3 - 1
RIM
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PAD
0 - 2
ACM
30%
22%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ACM
15%
18%
67%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACM
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |