Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
PAL
3 - 0
ATL
66%
24%
10%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
32%
33%
36%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
USF
2 - 1
ATL
55%
29%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
PRG
34%
33%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
ATL
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ACM
3 - 0
REG
76%
17%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
COM
1 - 0
ACM
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |