Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
51.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
USF
1 - 0
ATL
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
ATL
2 - 0
LEC
61%
26%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ATL
67%
22%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAT
64%
24%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 0
ATL
40%
34%
27%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAL
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
74%
19%
8%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
ACM
2 - 1
VER
73%
19%
8%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
CAT
2 - 2
ACM
21%
30%
50%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |