Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
57%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIC
47%
31%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
FIO
4 - 0
ATL
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
17%
30%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 2
ATL
38%
34%
29%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 0
TER
56%
28%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
VER
5 - 3
ACM
13%
27%
59%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
31%
29%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
NAP
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |