Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
BOL
5 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
UDI
1 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1960 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
33%
24%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |