Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 3
INT
30%
23%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ROM
3 - 3
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
TRI
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ACM
2 - 0
PRO
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ACM
3 - 0
TOR
67%
16%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
TRI
3 - 4
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
PAD
1 - 2
ACM
28%
23%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |