Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
VIC
2 - 3
ATL
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 1
GEN
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 0
ACL
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 2
VNZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
35%
22%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |