Atalanta vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
63%
19%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
MES
0 - 1
TOR
34%
28%
37%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
MES
0 - 0
CAG
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
USF
1 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
MES
0 - 2
ACM
17%
23%
61%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |