Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Atalanta vs Merthyr Tydfil FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ATL
0 - 0
BAR
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
ATL
38%
32%
29%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
MER
2 - 1
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRI
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
ARZ
5 - 4
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
MER
2 - 1
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |