Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Atalanta vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
SSB
1 - 1
ATL
38%
30%
33%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1988 |
KVM
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 1
ATL
30%
34%
36%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
ATL
3 - 1
ARZ
70%
21%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
KVM
3 - 0
MOL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
BEE
0 - 1
KVM
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1988 |
KVM
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
KVM
0 - 1
LIE
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
BRU
2 - 1
KVM
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |