Atalanta vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
48%
31%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 0
TAR
67%
23%
10%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPA
64%
24%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
ATL
43%
32%
25%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 0
TER
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
MAT
65%
22%
12%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
PIS
35%
30%
35%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
COM
2 - 1
MAT
65%
23%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
CES
2 - 1
MAT
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |