Atalanta vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATL
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
NOV
5 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ATL
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 2
GEN
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASL
87%
8%
5%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
NOV
5 - 0
ASL
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |