Atalanta vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROM
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
ATL
0 - 3
TRI
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
ATL
0 - 1
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
ASL
0 - 0
JUV
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
ROM
5 - 0
ASL
73%
16%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
ASL
0 - 0
LAZ
26%
20%
54%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
TOR
3 - 2
ASL
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |