Atalanta vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 4
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 2
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 4
ACM
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 1
LIV
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAG
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
0 - 0
SIE
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |