Atalanta vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
MOD
3 - 1
ATL
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ACL
0 - 2
ATL
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
BRE
4 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
ATL
1 - 3
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 4
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LIV
4 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 0
SAV
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 2
LIV
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |