Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
UDI
1 - 2
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
69%
18%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
VER
3 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
ROM
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 2
LEC
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
JUV
3 - 0
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |