Atalanta vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
TRI
0 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 0
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
5 - 1
ACL
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
TOR
2 - 2
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ACM
4 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
LAZ
2 - 1
VIC
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |