Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
PES
0 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 0
ATL
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAP
19%
23%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 3
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
ACM
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 0
EMP
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
PES
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |