Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROM
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
TOR
3 - 2
ATL
79%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 2
USF
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ATL
2 - 0
PES
56%
27%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 1
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |