Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 2
PES
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 1
ATL
42%
31%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPA
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
USF
3 - 1
ATL
57%
27%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
PRG
49%
31%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEN
54%
29%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 2
REG
62%
25%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |