Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
MES
1 - 0
ATL
41%
30%
29%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
CAG
5 - 0
ATL
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 0
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ROM
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SAM
0 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
MAN
2 - 0
GEN
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |