Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
ATL
2 - 1
VER
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
PAD
0 - 3
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACM
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
INT
1 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
USA
3 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
GEN
0 - 0
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |