Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
71%
15%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 3
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
ASL
0 - 4
GEN
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
59%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
GEN
4 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |