Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NAP
0 - 2
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 3
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 2
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 4
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 0
UDI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |