Coppa Italia Final
Global 0-3
Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
ATL
3 - 0
PAD
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ATL
1 - 3
LAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
PIA
0 - 1
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 4
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |