Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
ATL
1 - 1
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
UDI
1 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRE
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
FIO
3 - 1
NAP
41%
30%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
FIO
0 - 1
INT
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
FIO
22%
32%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
29%
29%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |