Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 0
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 1
FIO
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
FIO
0 - 1
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
USF
0 - 0
FIO
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |