Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
21%
22%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAD
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FIO
3 - 1
BOL
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
64%
18%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1960 |
FIO
6 - 2
FCL
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIC
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |