Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 0
UDI
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 0
PRO
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 1
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAD
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
JUV
5 - 0
FIO
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 2
FIO
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
FIO
3 - 0
COM
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |