Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 1
GEN
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACL
74%
15%
12%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
TOR
5 - 0
FIO
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
FIO
2 - 1
VNZ
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 2
VIC
71%
15%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |