Atalanta vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.3%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
17%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
17%
5.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDI
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 0
AVE
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
USC
0 - 1
ATL
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ATL
3 - 0
RIM
62%
24%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
PIA
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 0
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 0
BAR
25%
28%
48%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
TER
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ABN
0 - 0
FCC
67%
21%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |