Atalanta vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
19.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.1%
18%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ATL
45%
30%
25%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
58%
28%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVE
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
BRI
2 - 1
ATL
40%
32%
28%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
REG
60%
27%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
3 - 2
USA
59%
27%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |