Atalanta vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
63%
19%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
VIC
2 - 0
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
CAT
1 - 0
USF
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ROM
2 - 1
CAT
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAG
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
MES
2 - 1
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |