Atalanta vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
COM
2 - 4
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAD
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
COS
3 - 4
CAT
45%
23%
33%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
43%
24%
34%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 2
INT
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
VNZ
2 - 2
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |