Atalanta vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 1
LEC
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
VIC
0 - 1
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 1
CAT
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAD
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 0
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |