Atalanta vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
MES
2 - 2
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 1
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
VER
0 - 3
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 2
CAT
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
VNZ
3 - 0
CAT
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |