Atalanta vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
37%
32%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
ATL
2 - 2
BRE
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
ATL
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAN
52%
29%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
ATL
29%
33%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
ARZ
4 - 1
CAS
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
CES
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAS
67%
21%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
CAS
3 - 1
PIS
39%
28%
32%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |