Atalanta vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
TRI
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
25%
22%
53%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
PAD
1 - 2
ACM
28%
23%
50%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 1
PAD
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
PAD
1 - 1
UDI
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAD
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
PAD
3 - 0
FIO
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |