Atalanta vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ATL
2 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
MES
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
INT
3 - 0
CAG
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 0
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 0
CAG
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |