Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COM
1 - 2
ATL
11%
19%
69%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
5 - 0
STR
92%
6%
2%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 3
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BOL
2 - 0
COM
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 1
BOL
27%
24%
49%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EMP
1 - 1
BOL
26%
26%
48%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOL
2 - 1
BVB
29%
23%
49%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BOL
3 - 1
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |