Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.9%
33.4%
Draw
0-0
17.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.4%
35.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
ATL
62%
26%
12%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
ATL
65%
24%
11%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 2
ACM
22%
30%
49%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
PAL
3 - 0
ATL
66%
24%
10%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
32%
33%
36%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
61%
25%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 1
BOL
35%
31%
34%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 0
USC
64%
23%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
67%
23%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |