Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
JUV
7 - 1
ATL
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 2
PAL
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
INT
4 - 0
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPA
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ASL
2 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 4
NAP
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |