Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 2
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACL
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
2 - 2
MOD
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 5
GEN
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOL
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 3
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |