Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 0
LAZ
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
TRI
0 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 0
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 7
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
BOL
1 - 2
TOR
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
BOL
3 - 0
ACM
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
VIC
0 - 1
BOL
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |